I'm a shot betting specialist that uses analytical data & price comparisons to provide value & insight. I've come up with a model that I can produce for most fixtures that can help me find value vs. the top bookmakers in the UK. If there's no value to be had, then I won't be betting on it.
WHO IS THE SHOT TRADER?
HOW DOES IT WORK?
You can see an example of one of my models below. This is from a Premier League match between West Ham and Arsenal. Players and markets that I've found value for are highlighted in green.
Looking at Saka, based on his recent form and other data I use, there was value in him across multiple markets. The bookmaker price is the one highlighted and the 'fair price' displayed in brackets. He was marked down as value for having 1+ shots on target, 2+ shots on target and for scoring.
As you can see, he managed all 3, landing us 7/2, 2/1 and 8/11 winners after some movement on prices after the model was posted!
HOW SHOULD I BET ON THESE MODELS?
There's no right or wrong answer here, everyone will look at my models and do things differently. Some will put extremely low stakes on every value bet on offer, others will pick and choose a handful based on the data I provide combined with their own thoughts on potential outcomes.
I also try and get some of my selections price boosted, take advantage of bookmaker special offers, or use a bet builder tool that gives us a winning % boost for multiple selections. anything that gives us that additional value. I'll share these on both the site and my X account.
The most important thing is please gamble responsibly. Only bet what you can afford and please reach out if you're struggling:
United Kingdom - 0808 8020 133 or www.begambleaware.org
Ireland - 1800 753 753 or www.gamblingcare.ie
DO YOU WIN OFTEN?
There's no guarantees when it comes to betting, but since I started posting my tips on Twitter I'm in profit. Most of my wins are at shorter odds and I'm looking for consistent returns rather than rarer big wins. I also continue to work on my model and make tweaks to it to improve performance.