I've always been a fan of card betting and took it to another level back in August 2022 when I came up with my own model to help find value vs. the bookmakers.
WHO IS THE CARD DEALER?
HOW DOES IT WORK?
I've attached an example of one of my models below. For this game the model found 6 selections where there was value vs. the bookmakers. All my value selections are highlighted in green and you can see the price I've found with a bookmaker vs. what my model suggests as a 'fair price' (displayed in brackets).
Gilmour was a solid looking pick here, 11/2 with one bookmaker with a 'fair price' of 4.75/1. He ended up being carded, as did two others, landing us 11/2, 24/5 and 11/5 winners!!!
HOW SHOULD I BET ON THESE MODELS?
Everyone has their own strategy. For me, I put very low stakes on any selection that provides value, but I know a lot of my followers will pick out just one or two of my selections only. My best advice, don't feel pressured to back everything that shows as value.
I'll always try to find additional value, where possible too. A lot of bookmakers have both new and existing customer offers that can further increase the value of a selection. Keep an eye out on both the site and my X account where I'll share these with you.
The most important thing is please gamble responsibly. Only bet what you can afford and please reach out if you're struggling:
United Kingdom - 0808 8020 133 or www.begambleaware.org
Ireland - 1800 753 753 or www.gamblingcare.ie
DO YOU WIN OFTEN?
There's no guarantees when it comes to betting, but over the last 18 months I'm pleased to say I've done well. From the 1st August 2022 up until mid Feb 2024, the model is currently 672 points up!!
There's been some up and down months, but I continue to make tweaks to my model to try and improve it's accuracy and performance.